Saturday, 26 November 2016

Let's do something this weekend.

We may be doing many things for the society but will never get an opportunity to be able to be a part of building a hospital... As they say. "Health is the greatest gift".

I urge the readers, If you have enjoyed reading the blog and want to return something, Please come forward and help
us raise funds for this much needed cause.

It doesn't matter if its big or small but we really need your support.

The organization (Shrimad Raj Chandra Love & Care) needs our support to build a Hospital in the rural belt of Gujarat.

Here is a indication of how your contribution can be put to use:-

Rs. 2,500/- An artificial limb for the physically challenged

Rs. 5,000/- A minor surgery

Rs. 10,000/- Safe motherhood for a less privileged woman

Rs. 15,000/- Intensive care treatment for a critically ill new born baby

Rs. 15,000/- Outreach medical care for a day.

Rs. 50,000/- A hospital bed for a month.

Here is the Ketto page guys do contribute and share with all your friends: https://tsk25.ketto.org/fundraiser/AmritaManshiAdityasPledge?utm_source=internal&utm_medium=fbpageshare&utm_campaign=AmritaManshiAdityasPledge

Wednesday, 9 November 2016

Shree Ajit Pulp & Paper - New Paper Stock to Watch

In a simple post on this blog on 25th July 2016 titled Paper Stocks up next I talked about 3 paper stocks.
Star Paper, Kuantum Paper, Nirvikara (Name changed to Balrkishna).
All of them have moved insanely. 

SO HERE IS ANOTHER INTERESTING STOCK TO WATCH:
SHREE AJIT PULP & PAPER LTD
BSE: XD GROUP
BSE CODE: 538795
CMP: AROUND 250
MARKET CAP: 140 CRORES
TRAILING P/E: AROUND 10
P/E AS PER FULL YEAR EXP: UNDER 8 

ON THE CHART IT LOOKS LIKE IT HAS BEEN A HIGHER HIGH, HIGHER LOW BULL RUN AND CAN DO REALLY WELL GOING FORWARD.


AND I WILL NOT SAY A WORD ON DONALD TRUMP AND THE WAR AGAINST BLACK MONEY, WHILE DONALD TRUMP IS NOT HIGHLY RELEVANT TO OUR MARKETS AND THE BLACK MONEY WAR IS A GREAT STEP, I FEEL ITS ALREADY SO BADLY HYPED BY THE MEDIA THAT WE DON'T NEED TO TALK MORE ABOUT IT AND JUST FORGET IT FOR A WHILE.

Note: The above is not a research report but information as available on public domain and it should not be treated as a research report.


Registration status with SEBI: I am not registered with SEBI under the (Research Analyst) regulations 2014 and as per clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”


Disclosure: It is safe to assume that i might have SHREE AJIT PULP & PAPER LTD in my portfolio and hence my point of view can be biased. Readers should consult their financial advisory before any investments.

Saturday, 5 November 2016

JK AGRI GENETICS LTD almost 100% returns in 6 months


I wrote about JK AGRI GENETICS LTD on 14th May 2016 when the stock was at 389.
On 2nd November 2016 the stock touched a high of 769. That's a rally of 380 rs per share

The stock rallied about 98% from 389 and as we had written about the possible re-rating.
Mr Market did the re-rating :)

Here is the link to JK AGRI post

Hope readers are enjoying reading the blog. Hope to come up with something new soon! :)

Tuesday, 18 October 2016

Paper Stocks Rally



In a simple post on this blog on 25th July 2016 titled Paper Stocks up next I talked about 3 paper stocks.

Star Paper, Kuantum Paper, Nirvikara (Name changed to Balrkishna)

Even though I expected upto 40% gain in these paper stocks, lets take a look how they have fared.

Star Papers closed at 59.85 on 25 July 2016 and made high of 138 on 13 October 2016.
Kuantum Paper closed at 202 on 25 July 2016 and made high of 433 on 13 October 2016.
Nirvikara (Balkrishna) closed at 44.15 on 25 July 2016 and made high of 119.75 on 13 October 2016.

Star Paper rallied 130%
Kuantum Paper rallied 115%
Nirvikara/Balkrishna rallied 170%

All this under 3 months... Wasn't the rally fast and furious guys?

KM Sugars up 222% in less than 5 months.



I wrote about KM Sugar Mills being an interesting penny stock in the buzzing sugar sector on 31st May 2016 when the stock was trading at Rs 7. Today right now the stock is trading at Rs 22.55.

Stock is up 222% in since 31st May 2016.

Here is the link to KM SUGAR post

Hope readers are enjoying reading the blog.

KM Sugars proved to be a golden penny but always remember Penny Stocks might be injurious to wealth.

Thursday, 8 September 2016

Indian Overseas Bank

Nifty is almost near 9000 now, Another psychological landmark.
I had warned readers of a crash in my last post a month back, Nifty was at 8700 at that point of time.

Markets have refused to go down, Not just Indian even Global Markets have withstood every threat.

Be it: Brexit, FED, More looming EU exits, Lack of earnings growth, Expensive Valuations or even Donald Trump.

While writing the last time a month back, I was very clear that a Crash is coming up. As I write now I am very unclear about what is going to happen up next.


Anyway, That said we don't really have to predict the indices to make some money.

If we see the stock specific movement in last few days we can clearly gauge something.
Unitech was up 20% Yesterday. GMR INFRA is buzzing today.

Banking stocks have rallied a lot. What that means is regardless of fundamentals the Market is going GaGa behind beaten down stocks maybe because there is not much value left for value picks at present in the market.

In the banking sector, I was keen to buy J&K Bank yesterday but today it opened up 15%. 
So we have to mix a bit of charts here right now to pick a beaten down stock.

At current market price of around Rs 28, I think INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK is one such banking stock which can give a quick buck.

By quick buck I mean super-fast rally of more than 20-30% in the next 1-2 months however it can happen in next few days itself.

Below is a weekly chart of IOB showing how it can breakout above 30-33 with either price action or time delay.




Sometimes the Investor has to think and act like a trader ;).


Note: The above is not a research report but information as available on public domain and it should not be treated as a research report.

Registration status with SEBI: I am not registered with SEBI under the (Research Analyst) regulations 2014 and as per clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”

Disclosure: It is safe to assume that i might have Indian Overseas Bank in my portfolio and hence my point of view can be biased. Readers should consult their financial advisory before any investments.

Tuesday, 2 August 2016

Time to be cautious

NIFTY: Near 8700
SENSEX: Near 28000

As earlier post was really short here I am writing this for better understanding of what I mean.

Nifty at current levels is near 24 p/e, US Index S&P 500 at current levels is near 24 p/e too. For any index, 24 p/e cannot be value territory for investors. Couple that with the lack of sufficient earnings growth in the market, It becomes ripe for a crash. We have so far avoided the crash because World Economies are printing money and sustaining their Economies, That is what US QE is (layman wise) and now they are going towards Hiking instead of Easing. We have a very strong Government at Center, We can see things improving after decades of misrule but the problem is at the Global Front.. Even US elections are around the corner and if Donald Trump sails through which I feel is possible, He is not much liked by the markets. Having said that, I would avoid making a DOOMSDAY commentary here which actually is a probability but no one can time it, I would suggest Investors to stay focused and Investment or Portfolio wise go behind stocks which are seriously in the value territory rather than buying bloated names at astronomical valuations because when Market cracked last time, Mega Bull Stocks like Educomp got finished while under valued stocks went under correction to emerge as a Multibagger in the Future. So Investors should be very cautious in the market right now.

What is at 24 P/E might go up further and trade at 28 P/E but I hope readers understand the Risk and Reward here. Disclosure: I Look to increase small position out of profits in Nifty 7000 December Put which is trading at Rs 25 right now. Hypothetically If Global Markets crack 30% and we follow suit, Nifty could get close to 6000 and in that case Nifty December 7000 Put should trade close to 1000, That is if anything of that sorts happen by December 2016 Expiry, Otherwise it is going towards ZERO so All in All its a Total Gamble with 100% risk and with low "probability" of returns buts thats just a Small Trade with Reward in favorable situation being really good.

Monday, 1 August 2016

Time to be cautious

Nifty is trading at almost 24 p/e, S&P 500 (US) is trading at near 24 p/e too.

We have events like USA Presidential Elections coming up, Donald Trump not liked much by market.

We are not under valued at current valuations and markets do come back to undervalued territory.

While experts are going berserk with SENSEX 1,00,000 by 2020 views on the street I think investors should adopt a cautious approach right now and buy only really undervalued stuff rather than investing in risky companies, I am not saying time to Panic Sell but just be cautious because it is better to be safe than sorry.

Monday, 25 July 2016

Paper Sector up next

In market cycles it is often seen that the four dogs of market: Sugar, Fertilizer, Drilling/Offshore/Shipping, Paper move one after another or altogether and the Paper would be the last in the cycle which would mean short/mid term bullishness of market is over (what is technically called a TOP).
Sugar up tick has been done, Fertilizer somewhat moved, Drilling/Offshore started today, Paper seems to have started now.
In paper, valuation wise cheap names look like: Star Paper, Kuantum Paper(BSE), Nirvikara (not profitable but dirt cheap mcap, Damani ji invested).

The run in paper will not be as much as Sugar at all and should be capped at about 20-40% returns from CMP at max.