Monday, 19 December 2016

Tea & Plantations up next

We played the Sugar cycle rally in the market by participating in Upper Ganges 220 to 500, DCM Shriram Industries 166 to 256, Ugar Sugar 33 to 73, Rajshree Sugar 70 to 90 and KM Sugar 7 to 30....All of them gave excellent returns.

We played the Paper cycle rally in the market by participating in Star Paper 59.85 to 205, Kuantum Paper(BSE) 202 to 556, Nirvikara(Balkrishna) 44 to 120. they all provided insane returns.

Now up next the focus should be on Tea & Plantation.
May not be as big opportunity as Sugar & Paper but still a very good one for atleast 30-60% odd gains.
In paper, valuation wise cheap names look like:-
Harrisons Malayalam Limited (CMP 66) Tea & Rubber.
Dhunseri Tea & Industries Limited (DTIL) (CMP 290) Tea.
Mcleod Russel (CMP 149) Tea.
Rossell India Ltd (CMP 91) Tea & Defense.

Rubber & Tea prices are moving up and are expected to move up further and faster now onwards.


Note: The above is not a research report but information as available on public domain and it should not be treated as a research report.


Registration status with SEBI: I am not registered with SEBI under the (Research Analyst) regulations 2014 and as per clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”

Disclosure: It is safe to assume that i might have Harrisons Malayalam Ltd, Dhunseri Tea & Industries Ltd, Mcleod Russel India Ltd and Rossell India Ltd in my portfolio and hence my point of view can be biased. Readers should consult their financial advisory before any investments.

Thursday, 8 December 2016

NCL INDUSTRIES LTD - Cement, Pre-Fab Low Cost Housing









INTERESTING STOCK TO WATCH:

NCL INDUSTRIES LTD 
MCAP: 400 Odd Crores.
CMP: Around 118/-
CURRENT P/E: Around 8.

NEGATIVE: 82.94% Promoter Holding pledged.
POSITIVE: Sectoral bullishness

NCL Industries Ltd is a cement company from the state of Telangana.
NCL is also having a Prefab Houses segment.
NCL is also into Ready Mixed Concrete, Cement Bonded Particle Board & Hydropower.

Demonetization has been the buzzword since last month.
With Demonetization and the hard push on taxation the government is expected to get richer so there are obvious expectations that going forward from here there is going to be huge spending on Infra, Railways, Solar Energy, Housing For All from the Government.

NCL's core business is of Cement which is expected to do well with increased spending on Infra (roads,highways etc) and we have Prefab Housing segment, This segment is very important right now.

PreFab housing is used by many state govts. to realize the dream of Housing for All.
Apart from housing for all, the sector will witness huge demand as the country needs high number of cabins for toilets to improve sanitation and with the plans of cashless economy we need to increase the number of ATMs and very soon we are going to have Aadhar Micro ATMs. All this would require pre-fab cabins and structures.

There are select stocks available in this sector like, Sahyadri Industries, Richa Industries but I feel NCL is a safer bet because of a good brand of cement under its kitty. (Nagarjuna Cement).

Take a look at their pre fab site: http://www.nclind.com/why-ncl-prefab

Technically 110-109 looks like a strong support, if broken stock can correct otherwise there are chances of a good recovery and rally in this stock.


Note: The above is not a research report but information as available on public domain and it should not be treated as a research report.

Registration status with SEBI: I am not registered with SEBI under the (Research Analyst) regulations 2014 and as per clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”

Disclosure: It is safe to assume that i might have NCL Industries LTD in my portfolio and hence my point of view can be biased. Readers should consult their financial advisory before any investments.





Wednesday, 7 December 2016

DYNEMIC PRODUCTS & DCM SHRIRAM INDUSTRIES


DYNEMIC PRODUCTS LTD.
DYNEMIC PRODUCTS posted on the blog at Rs 75 on 7th November 2014.
 The stock has rallied to 148 today, Making a fresh time high.
In two years the stock has moved up by almost 98%.
Now the stock is being pushed by many experts as a value pick at current levels.
Value Investing WINS again, Dynemic tested our patience a lot though.
Hope all the readers enjoyed!!!



 DCM SHRIRAM INDUSTRIES LTD.
DCM SHRIRAM INDUSTRIES posted on the blog at Rs 166 on 12th June 2016.
 The stock rallied to 256 last week, Making a fresh high.
In just six months the stock has moved up by almost 55%.
Hope all the readers enjoyed!!!



Saturday, 26 November 2016

Let's do something this weekend.

We may be doing many things for the society but will never get an opportunity to be able to be a part of building a hospital... As they say. "Health is the greatest gift".

I urge the readers, If you have enjoyed reading the blog and want to return something, Please come forward and help
us raise funds for this much needed cause.

It doesn't matter if its big or small but we really need your support.

The organization (Shrimad Raj Chandra Love & Care) needs our support to build a Hospital in the rural belt of Gujarat.

Here is a indication of how your contribution can be put to use:-

Rs. 2,500/- An artificial limb for the physically challenged

Rs. 5,000/- A minor surgery

Rs. 10,000/- Safe motherhood for a less privileged woman

Rs. 15,000/- Intensive care treatment for a critically ill new born baby

Rs. 15,000/- Outreach medical care for a day.

Rs. 50,000/- A hospital bed for a month.

Here is the Ketto page guys do contribute and share with all your friends: https://tsk25.ketto.org/fundraiser/AmritaManshiAdityasPledge?utm_source=internal&utm_medium=fbpageshare&utm_campaign=AmritaManshiAdityasPledge

Wednesday, 9 November 2016

Shree Ajit Pulp & Paper - New Paper Stock to Watch

In a simple post on this blog on 25th July 2016 titled Paper Stocks up next I talked about 3 paper stocks.
Star Paper, Kuantum Paper, Nirvikara (Name changed to Balrkishna).
All of them have moved insanely. 

SO HERE IS ANOTHER INTERESTING STOCK TO WATCH:
SHREE AJIT PULP & PAPER LTD
BSE: XD GROUP
BSE CODE: 538795
CMP: AROUND 250
MARKET CAP: 140 CRORES
TRAILING P/E: AROUND 10
P/E AS PER FULL YEAR EXP: UNDER 8 

ON THE CHART IT LOOKS LIKE IT HAS BEEN A HIGHER HIGH, HIGHER LOW BULL RUN AND CAN DO REALLY WELL GOING FORWARD.


AND I WILL NOT SAY A WORD ON DONALD TRUMP AND THE WAR AGAINST BLACK MONEY, WHILE DONALD TRUMP IS NOT HIGHLY RELEVANT TO OUR MARKETS AND THE BLACK MONEY WAR IS A GREAT STEP, I FEEL ITS ALREADY SO BADLY HYPED BY THE MEDIA THAT WE DON'T NEED TO TALK MORE ABOUT IT AND JUST FORGET IT FOR A WHILE.

Note: The above is not a research report but information as available on public domain and it should not be treated as a research report.


Registration status with SEBI: I am not registered with SEBI under the (Research Analyst) regulations 2014 and as per clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”


Disclosure: It is safe to assume that i might have SHREE AJIT PULP & PAPER LTD in my portfolio and hence my point of view can be biased. Readers should consult their financial advisory before any investments.

Saturday, 5 November 2016

JK AGRI GENETICS LTD almost 100% returns in 6 months


I wrote about JK AGRI GENETICS LTD on 14th May 2016 when the stock was at 389.
On 2nd November 2016 the stock touched a high of 769. That's a rally of 380 rs per share

The stock rallied about 98% from 389 and as we had written about the possible re-rating.
Mr Market did the re-rating :)

Here is the link to JK AGRI post

Hope readers are enjoying reading the blog. Hope to come up with something new soon! :)

Tuesday, 18 October 2016

Paper Stocks Rally



In a simple post on this blog on 25th July 2016 titled Paper Stocks up next I talked about 3 paper stocks.

Star Paper, Kuantum Paper, Nirvikara (Name changed to Balrkishna)

Even though I expected upto 40% gain in these paper stocks, lets take a look how they have fared.

Star Papers closed at 59.85 on 25 July 2016 and made high of 138 on 13 October 2016.
Kuantum Paper closed at 202 on 25 July 2016 and made high of 433 on 13 October 2016.
Nirvikara (Balkrishna) closed at 44.15 on 25 July 2016 and made high of 119.75 on 13 October 2016.

Star Paper rallied 130%
Kuantum Paper rallied 115%
Nirvikara/Balkrishna rallied 170%

All this under 3 months... Wasn't the rally fast and furious guys?

KM Sugars up 222% in less than 5 months.



I wrote about KM Sugar Mills being an interesting penny stock in the buzzing sugar sector on 31st May 2016 when the stock was trading at Rs 7. Today right now the stock is trading at Rs 22.55.

Stock is up 222% in since 31st May 2016.

Here is the link to KM SUGAR post

Hope readers are enjoying reading the blog.

KM Sugars proved to be a golden penny but always remember Penny Stocks might be injurious to wealth.

Thursday, 8 September 2016

Indian Overseas Bank

Nifty is almost near 9000 now, Another psychological landmark.
I had warned readers of a crash in my last post a month back, Nifty was at 8700 at that point of time.

Markets have refused to go down, Not just Indian even Global Markets have withstood every threat.

Be it: Brexit, FED, More looming EU exits, Lack of earnings growth, Expensive Valuations or even Donald Trump.

While writing the last time a month back, I was very clear that a Crash is coming up. As I write now I am very unclear about what is going to happen up next.


Anyway, That said we don't really have to predict the indices to make some money.

If we see the stock specific movement in last few days we can clearly gauge something.
Unitech was up 20% Yesterday. GMR INFRA is buzzing today.

Banking stocks have rallied a lot. What that means is regardless of fundamentals the Market is going GaGa behind beaten down stocks maybe because there is not much value left for value picks at present in the market.

In the banking sector, I was keen to buy J&K Bank yesterday but today it opened up 15%. 
So we have to mix a bit of charts here right now to pick a beaten down stock.

At current market price of around Rs 28, I think INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK is one such banking stock which can give a quick buck.

By quick buck I mean super-fast rally of more than 20-30% in the next 1-2 months however it can happen in next few days itself.

Below is a weekly chart of IOB showing how it can breakout above 30-33 with either price action or time delay.




Sometimes the Investor has to think and act like a trader ;).


Note: The above is not a research report but information as available on public domain and it should not be treated as a research report.

Registration status with SEBI: I am not registered with SEBI under the (Research Analyst) regulations 2014 and as per clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”

Disclosure: It is safe to assume that i might have Indian Overseas Bank in my portfolio and hence my point of view can be biased. Readers should consult their financial advisory before any investments.